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October 22, 2025

The Growing Challenges in Drug Development

Drug development faces one of the highest failure rates in any industry—more than 85% of drugs entering clinical development never reach approval, often due to lack of efficacy or unforeseen safety issues. As new modalities, such as cell and gene therapies, antibody-drug conjugates, and multispecific biologics, add further complexity, traditional trial-and-error methods can’t keep pace.

This blog will demonstrate why combining Quantitative Systems Pharmacology (QSP) with AI is transforming the landscape—making QSP modeling more accessible, scalable, and efficient—and how these advances can help teams design smarter studies, predict outcomes earlier, and reduce costly late-stage failures.

Quantitative Systems Pharmacology: Promise and Potential

Quantitative Systems Pharmacology (QSP) has emerged as a powerful discipline to meet this need. By combining systems biology, pharmacokinetics (PK), and pharmacodynamics (PD), QSP models simulate how drugs interact with complex biological networks in virtual patient populations.

QSP enables researchers to:

  • Identify and prioritize therapeutic targets
  • Evaluate drug design properties early in development
  • Anticipate first-in-human (FIH) dosing, therapeutic index, and recommended Phase 2 dose (RP2D)
  • Optimize dose regimens and predict efficacy outcomes
  • Flag safety concerns before clinical trials begin
  • Support regulatory submissions with mechanistic, evidence-based predictions

QSP has been proven to reduce development risk, support regulatory decision-making, and accelerate timelines. Yet despite its power, adoption across pharma and biotech has been limited, and scalability remains a challenge.

The Major Challenges of QSP Modeling

While QSP holds transformative potential, it has historically struggled with scalability, usability, and accessibility. Key challenges include:

  1. Complexity and Specialist Dependence
    QSP models often require writing and debugging large amounts of code, accessible only to a handful of expert modelers who originally created the model. This creates bottlenecks and makes scaling difficult.
  2. Slow Simulation Speeds
    Running large, data-rich simulations across virtual patient populations can take days, precluding certain analyses from taking place and delaying critical decisions.
  3. Knowledge Silos
    Expertise and models frequently remain confined to individuals or small teams. This makes knowledge transfer difficult as organizations grow and evolve.
  4. Lack of Standardization
    QSP models vary widely in complexity, structure, and toolsets. This creates inefficiencies, hinders reuse, and complicates communication with regulators and cross-functional teams.
  5. Fragmented Workflows
    Model diagrams, underlying equations, and simulation code are often disconnected. This makes models harder to interpret, validate, and integrate into decision-making pipelines.

Because of these barriers, QSP modeling remains underutilized in drug development. While the benefits are proven, it has not yet been fully accessible or scalable.

A Solution Built to Scale and Democratize QSP

Recognizing these limitations, Certara developed Certara IQ™—an AI-enabled platform designed by leveraging decades of QSP modeling experience. Certara IQ is built to bridge the critical gaps that have long hindered QSP adoption, making the discipline more scalable, efficient, and accessible across the life sciences industry.

What Makes Certara IQ Different?

  • Pre-Validated Model Libraries
    Certara IQ includes a repository of validated, well-documented models across therapeutic areas. These models provide powerful starting points for new projects, reducing duplication and accelerating timelines.
  • AI-Enhanced, Intuitive Interface
    With AI-driven visualizations and declarative programming, users can interact with models through intuitive diagrams directly linked to underlying equations and references. This improves transparency and usability across teams.
  • Cloud-Based Computational Power
    Large-scale simulations that once took days now complete in minutes, enabling rapid iteration and faster decision-making.
  • Declarative Programming for Reusability
    Instead of complex code, models can be built using declarative statements, making them reusable and accessible even for non-coding scientists.
  • Integrated End-to-End Workflows
    Certara IQ unifies model creation, simulation, analysis, and reporting, streamlining regulatory submissions and internal decision-making.
  • Collaboration Tools
    Teams share, edit, and compare scenarios seamlessly—preserving institutional knowledge and fostering innovation.
  • GxP Compliant Tools
  • Consultant Support

Before vs. After Certara IQ

Built by incorporating the decades of experience that Certara’s global team of QSP experts brings, and used by Certara’s QSP consulting team, Certara IQ is the trusted QSP modeling tool for projects of any size.

Before IQ:

  • Days to run simulations
  • Specialist-driven coding bottlenecks
  • Limited knowledge sharing and reuse
  • Fragmented, inefficient workflows
  • Lack of standardization challenging for modeling groups and regulators

After IQ:

  • Minutes to run large-scale simulations
  • Declarative, user-friendly modeling environment
  • Pre-validated, customizable model library reducing
  • Unified, collaborative workflows

The Future of QSP with Certara IQ

Quantitative Systems Pharmacology has long promised to transform drug development, but its full impact has been limited by complexity, slow computation, fragmented workflows, and reliance on a small pool of experts. These challenges have kept QSP from scaling across organizations, despite its proven ability to improve decision-making and reduce costly failures. The motivation behind Certara IQ is to ease these barriers—streamlining model creation, accelerating simulations, unifying workflows, and opening access to more scientists. Using pre-built workflows and models, users can significantly reduce the likelihood of errors. By addressing the core pain points that have held QSP back, Certara IQ enables teams to leverage advanced modeling at scale, bringing more effective therapies to patients faster.

By automating complexity and leveraging AI, Certara IQ enables researchers and developers to:

  • Make earlier, more confident go/no-go decisions
  • Optimize dosing and safety predictions before clinical trials
  • De-risk late-stage failures
  • Shorten the time to market for innovative therapies

By democratizing QSP, Certara IQ empowers companies to harness QSP modeling at scale, using it across portfolios and pipelines.

Jessica Sinha

Associate Director, Marketing – QSP, Certara

Jessica Sinha is an accomplished marketing leader with more than eight years of experience spanning B2B, brand, content, and digital marketing in the life sciences sector. At Certara, she leads strategic marketing initiatives for Quantitative Systems Pharmacology (QSP), combining her scientific foundation in bioengineering with a passion for clear, impactful communication.

FAQs

How can QSP support drug development?

Quantitative Systems Pharmacology (QSP) helps de-risk drug development by integrating biology, pharmacokinetics (PK), and pharmacodynamics (PD) to simulate how drugs behave in virtual patients. This allows teams to predict efficacy, optimize dose selection, and anticipate safety issues before clinical trials.

What are the main challenges in QSP modeling?

QSP modeling faces hurdles in scalability, complexity, and accessibility. Building and running large mechanistic models requires significant coding expertise and computational power. Inconsistent standards and siloed workflows also make reuse and collaboration difficult.

What are the benefits of AI in mechanistic modeling?

AI automates many of the most time-consuming steps in mechanistic modeling—such as parameter estimation, data integration, and code generation—making QSP modeling faster, more intuitive, and accessible to non-specialists. In platforms like Certara IQ, AI enhances visualization, streamlines workflows, and accelerates simulations.

What are successful QSP applications?

QSP has been successfully applied to guide first-in-human (FIH) dose predictions, optimize recommended Phase 2 doses (RP2D), and assess safety and efficacy across modalities, including monoclonal antibodies, ADCs, and cell and gene therapies. These applications reduce uncertainty and shorten development timelines.

Learn more about Certara IQ

Certara IQ is the AI-enabled QSP modeling tool that will transform your research and scale your molecule’s potential.

Certara IQ offers flexible and scalable licensing options to cater to a variety of users and organization sizes.

Learn moreSee Certara IQ in action

See Certara IQ in Action