Publication: British Journal of Clinical Pharmacology
Abstract
Women living with HIV cannot discontinue antiretroviral therapy during lactation, making it essential to understand how these drugs transfer into breastmilk and the resulting exposure risk to breastfed infants. This publication combines a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model built in Simcyp with its lactation module and a clinical lactation study to predict and measure doravirine concentrations in human breastmilk, with observed plasma and milk pharmacokinetics obtained by non-compartmental analysis in Phoenix WinNonlin. The PBPK model predicted a breastmilk-to-maternal-plasma ratio of 0.39, compared with an observed clinical value of 0.26, and predicted and observed estimated infant daily doses were closely aligned at roughly 0.18 mg/day, corresponding to a relative infant dose of about 2%. Combining in silico and clinical evidence, the authors conclude that infant exposure to doravirine through breastfeeding is not expected to pose a hazard. The work illustrates how PBPK modeling can complement clinical lactation studies to inform breastfeeding safety assessments for antiretroviral therapy.
Author(s): van der Wekken‑Pas L, Burger D, Greupink R, Colbers A
Published: November 6, 2025
Phoenix WinNonlin: Grounding a PBPK Model in Observed Data
Phoenix WinNonlin’s non-compartmental analysis supplied the observed plasma and milk pharmacokinetics behind this doravirine lactation study, complementing physiologically based model predictions. Within a Phoenix platform used by 100% of the top 20 pharma companies, Phoenix WinNonlin is trusted by regulators worldwide, including the FDA.


